Montag, 1. November 2021

Wheat Closes at Highest Since 2012 as Food Inflation Fears Grow By Kim Chipman and Megan Durisin 1. November 2021, 06:08 MEZ Updated on 1. November 2021, 22:46 MEZ U.S. spring wheat, Paris wheat also soar amid robust demand U.S. corn and soybean harvest pace falls short of expectations

 

Wheat Closes at Highest Since 2012 as Food Inflation Fears Grow

 Updated on 
  •  
    U.S. spring wheat, Paris wheat also soar amid robust demand
  •  
    U.S. corn and soybean harvest pace falls short of expectations

Benchmark wheat in Chicago climbed above $8 a bushel for the first time in almost nine years as importers boost purchases amid adverse weather conditions and soaring fertilizer prices that risk denting next year’s harvests. 

The advance may ramp up already high food costs worldwide. Futures tied to other types of wheat also surged amid increasing demand and dwindling reserves due to inclement weather. 

Some farmers are now contending with dry soil at planting time, as well as a run up in fertilizer prices. Wheat is on its longest streak of monthly gains since 2007.

“Speculators keep talking about inflation and are buying commodities for an inflation trade,” Jack Scoville, vice president for Price Futures Group in Chicago, said in a note.

Futures above $8/bushel for first time since Dec. 2012
 
 

The latest United Nations figures show food prices at a decade-high amid harvest setbacks and supply-chain disruptions.

Paris milling wheat futures at one point pushed close to an all-time high and Minneapolis spring wheat touched the priciest level since April 2008. Hard red winter wheat traded in Chicago rose 2.6% to close at $8.065 a bushel, the highest settlement since May 2014. 

Saudi Arabia’s state buyer booked 1.3 million tons of wheat in a tender this past weekend, almost double the amount expected. Plus, top importer Egypt bought 180,000 tons of Russian wheat less than a week after its largest purchase of the season.

After the close of markets on Monday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said winter-wheat conditions declined slightly last week, missing the average Bloomberg survey estimate calling for 3 percentage point improvement. 

The USDA also reported corn and soybean harvests that were slower than forecast. Separately, the agency said the amount of corn used for ethanol in September was 1.3% higher than the same period a year earlier. 

Corn rose for a fifth straight session on Monday, closing 2% higher at $5.79 in Chicago for the highest settlement since July 2. 

Soybeans settled little changed at $12.485. The U.S. is expecting its biggest soy crop on record this year. As fertilizer prices soar worldwide, the prospect for big soybean plantings next year is likely as some farmers switch out of more chemical-intensive corn.

The world’s largest phosphate producer, Mosaic Co., said it expects fertilizer prices to continue surging.

MORE ON THE MARKETS:

— With assistance by Dominic Care

Last Thursday, European Union election observers began their mission in Venezuela, as campaigning kicked off for regional elections next month which are set to include opposition candidates. It is the first time in 15 years the EU has sent observers to Venezuela. Opposition parties are participating in the November 21 contest after boycotting presidential and parliamentary elections in 2018 and 2020 respectively. A total of 44 EU observers have arrived in Venezuela so far. They will work in 22 of the country's 23 states, Santos said, adding no personnel will be sent to the Amazonas state due to transport difficulties and the coronavirus pandemic. Also last week, the National Electoral Council and the Carter Center have agreed to form an International Mission of Electoral Experts from the United States to take part in the upcoming regional and municipal elections on November 21.

 

Venezuela

Last week, according to sources from Reuters, Citgo Petroleum is preparing to appoint two new members of its board of directors to help steer the company during the upcoming negotiations between its parent boards and creditors. People familiar with the matter indicated that CITGO management would work closely with the supervisory boards, preparing to start talks to prevent the company's division through an auction process backed by a US court. Citgo Chief Executive Carlos Jordá is expected to rejoin the board, and the company's chief legal and government affairs official, Jack Lynch, will serve on the board.

Last Thursday,  European Union election observers began their mission in Venezuela, as campaigning kicked off for regional elections next month which are set to include opposition candidates. It is the first time in 15 years the EU has sent observers to Venezuela. Opposition parties are participating in the November 21 contest after boycotting presidential and parliamentary elections in 2018 and 2020 respectively. A total of 44 EU observers have arrived in Venezuela so far. They will work in 22 of the country's 23 states, Santos said, adding no personnel will be sent to the Amazonas state due to transport difficulties and the coronavirus pandemic. Also last week, the National Electoral Council and the Carter Center have agreed to form an International Mission of Electoral Experts from the United States to take part in the upcoming regional and municipal elections on November 21.

Last but not least, last week a 2.1 million-barrel cargo of Iranian condensate was delivered in Venezuela. The U.S.-sanctioned state oil companies from both countries, PDVSA and National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), last month agreed to a contract, in effect for six months in its first phase, to exchange Iranian condensate for Venezuelan heavy crude.

 

Credit

Type / ISIN

Indicative price (%)*

Venezuela

VENZ 13 5/8 08/15/18

10.25

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 9 ¼ 09/15/27

10.25

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 7 3/4 10/13/19

     9.5

10.5

Venezuela

VENZ 6 12/09/20

     9.5

10.5

Venezuela

VENZ 12 3/4 08/23/22

10.25

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 9 05/07/23

10

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 8 1/4 10/13/24

10

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 7.65 04/21/25

10

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 11 3/4 10/21/26

10.25

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 9 1/4 05/07/28

10

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 11.95 08/05/31

10.25

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 9 3/8 01/13/34

10

10.75

Venezuela

VENZ 7 03/31/38

10

10.75

Venezuela

ICSID Claims

Call desk for Prices

PDVSA

PDVSA 8 1/2 10/27/20

25

28

PDVSA

PDVSA 9 11/17/21

5.25

6

PDVSA

PDVSA 12 3/4 02/17/22

5.25

6

PDVSA

PDVSA 6 10/28/22

3

4

PDVSA

PDVSA 6 05/16/24

5.25

6

PDVSA

PDVSA 6 11/15/26

5.25

6

PDVSA

PDVSA 5 3/8 04/12/27

5.25

6

PDVSA

PDVSA 9 3/4 05/17/35

5.25

6

PDVSA

PDVSA 5 1/2 04/12/37

5.25

6

PDVSA

Promissory Notes

Call desk for Prices

PDVSA

Trade Receivables

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* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call desk

 

 

Argentina

President Alberto Fernández has declared that "Argentina cannot pay" the $19bn it owes the International Monetary Fund next year in debt repayments, adding that the terms of the 2018 credit-line agreed by former president Mauricio Macri are "impossible to fulfill.", the BA Times reported. President Alberto Fernández previously told business leaders that Argentina is “absolutely” committed to agreeing a new financing programme with the International Monetary Fund and restructuring its multi-billion-dollar debt.

 

Credit

Type / ISIN

Indicative price (%)*

Argentina

ARGENT 0 1/2 07/09/30

34.1

34.6

Argentina

ARGENT 1 07/09/29

36

37

Argentina

ARGENT 1 1/8 07/09/35

30.5

31.9

Argentina

ARGENT 2 1/2 07/09/41

34.2

34.5

Argentina

ARGENT 2 01/09/38

36.4

37.4

Argentina

ARGENT 1 1/8 07/09/46

30.4

32.7

Buenos Aires

BUENOS 3.9 09/01/37

44

45.5

Buenos Aires

BUENOS 2.85 09/01/37

40.5

42

Buenos Aires

BUENOS 3 1/2 09/01/37

38.1

40.6

Buenos Aires

BUENOS 3 09/01/37

34.2

39.6

Buenos Aires

BUENOS 2 09/01/37

28.8

34.8

Buenos Aires

BUENOS 2 1/2 09/01/37

32.7

36

YPF

YPFDAR 8 1/2 07/28/25

79.4

81.1

YPF

YPFDAR 8 3/4 04/04/24

89.5

91.7

YPF

YPFDAR 6.95 07/21/27

69.9

72.1

YPF

YPFDAR 7 12/15/47

64.7

66.2

YPF

YPFDAR 8 1/2 06/27/29

76.5

77.9

Banco Macro

BMAAR 6 3/4 11/04/26

84.9

87.9

* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call des

senegal

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