Montag, 7. Juni 2021

WEEKLY NEWSLETTER 7th - 11th June 2021

 

WEEKLY NEWSLETTER

7th - 11th June 2021

* This material does not constitute "investment research" as defined by the rules of the Financial Conduct Authority *
* This material is not intended for Retail Clients *

 

 

 

 

Details and listings for these and other assets are available on the IlliquidX Platform on www.illiquidx.com

 

LATAM

 

Venezuela

Last week, Guaido rejected during a press conference a condition demanded by Nicolás Maduro for possible dialogue; that the negotiations be public. Guaidó replied that "a negotiation with microphones is not a negotiation," as this "takes seriousness away from the process."  Guaido invited Maduro to negotiate “free and fair” elections in exchange for a progressive lifting of the sanctions. If Maduro replied positively he said he wants all the PDVSA and Banco Central de Venezuela frozen money back. With regards to the gold held in the vaults of the Bank of England, UK’s Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab has been granted permission to intervene at the Supreme Court during a hearing scheduled on 19th July. The Supreme Court should rule on the de facto recognition of Guaido by the UK during the second half of 2021 by deciding which administration should have control over the gold. The Foreign Secretary was invited to intervene in the proceedings to clarify the position from the UK Government whether Guaidó is recognized not only as the de jure Head of State of Venezuela, but also the de facto Head of State.  
Also last week, the U.S extended waiver for oil companies to work in Venezuela. Chevron Corporation,  Halliburton, Schlumberger Limited ,  Baker Hughes Holdings LLC,  Weatherford International, Public Limited Company are now authorized to keep operating in Venezuela until 1st Dec 2021.

For Venezuela bonds, the de-jure and de-facto administrations disagree on how bondholders should look at prescriptions periods. On 28th September 2020, Venezuela’s opposition-designated attorney general, appointed by National Assembly President Juan Guaido, published a statement saying that it is the view of the Guaido team that the contractual prescription period has not begun to run in respect of an overdue amount of principal or interest payable under any of the bonds issued by the government. According to the opposition government, the 10 and 3 year periods set out in the prescription clause of most Venezuela, PDVSA and ELECAR bonds will not begin to run unless and until:

  1. the Fiscal Agent receives the full amount owed by the Republic and
  2. the holders have been notified of such event.

At the same time, attorney general indicated the statutory limitation period of six years under the laws of New York still applies.

This followed a statement from Maduro’s finance minister Delcy Rodriguez who highlighted that with the third anniversary for the first missed bond payment in 2017 coming soon, prescription deadlines for interests will expire and the launch on 15th  September 2020 of the Maduro conditional offer. Under the offer, bondholders would agree to renounce to rights to litigate and in exchange prescriptions deadlines would be waived.
http://www.mppef.gob.ve/comunicados-oficiales/

The Maduro conditional offer expired on 14th March 2021 and won’t be extended again, however the government said it will keep talking with Venezuela, PDVSA and Electricidad de Caracas bondholders in order to reach agreements under the same conditions as those with whom the Tolling Agreements are entered into. The proposed mechanism would require licenses from the US Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control, which administers sanctions.

 

Credit

Type / ISIN

Indicative price (%)*

Venezuela

VENZ 13 5/8 08/15/18

10

11

Venezuela

VENZ 9 ¼ 09/15/27

10

11

Venezuela

VENZ 7 3/4 10/13/19

9.5

10.5

Venezuela

VENZ 6 12/09/20

9.5

10.5

Venezuela

VENZ 12 3/4 08/23/22

10

11

Venezuela

VENZ 9 05/07/23

9.5

10.5

Venezuela

VENZ 8 1/4 10/13/24

9.5

10.5

Venezuela

VENZ 7.65 04/21/25

9.5

10.5

Venezuela

VENZ 11 3/4 10/21/26

10

11

Venezuela

VENZ 9 1/4 05/07/28

9.5

10.5

Venezuela

VENZ 11.95 08/05/31

10

11

Venezuela

VENZ 9 3/8 01/13/34

9.5

10.5

Venezuela

VENZ 7 03/31/38

9.5

10.5

Venezuela

ICSID Claims

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PDVSA

PDVSA 8 1/2 10/27/20

25

28

PDVSA

PDVSA 9 11/17/21

4.5

5.5

PDVSA

PDVSA 12 3/4 02/17/22

4.5

5.5

PDVSA

PDVSA 6 10/28/22

4.5

5.5

PDVSA

PDVSA 6 05/16/24

4.5

5.5

PDVSA

PDVSA 6 11/15/26

4.5

5.5

PDVSA

PDVSA 5 3/8 04/12/27

4.5

5.5

PDVSA

PDVSA 9 3/4 05/17/35

4.5

5.5

PDVSA

PDVSA 5 1/2 04/12/37

4.5

5.5

PDVSA

Promissory Notes

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PDVSA

Trade Receivables

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* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call desk

 

 

Argentina

Last week, Argentina failed to meet its obligation to pay the outstanding balance of principal and interest on financing from the so-called Paris Club under the terms of a refinancing agreement signed in 2014. Argentina, which had already acknowledged in advance the impossibility to meet its debt commitments with the Paris Club and with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), decided to avail itself of the 60-day grace period provided in the 2014 agreement in case a debt is not settled on the maturity date. After that time, if Argentina does not regularize its situation, the forum of 22 creditor countries may declare the South American nation in cessation of payments. Still, the government of Alberto Fernández hopes to avoid that extreme and to reach an agreement with the Paris Club beforehand, at least to postpone for a few more months the maturity, The Rio Times reported. The Argentine government is also continuing the dialogue with the IMF with a view to a debt refinancing agreement for some $45bn, a negotiation that has become crucial for the future of a possible understanding with the Paris Club.

 

 

Credit

Type / ISIN

Indicative price (%)*

Argentina

ARGENT 0 1/8 07/09/30

37.5

37.9

Argentina

ARGENT 8.28 12/31/33

47.1

56.5

Argentina

ARGENT 7 1/8 06/28/17

40.7

44.6

Argentina

ARGENT 3 3/4 12/31/38

38.3

47.7

Argentina

ARGENT 5 7/8 01/11/28

39.3

49

Argentina

ARGENT 1 07/09/29

39.2

40.1

Argentina

ARGENT 3.38 12/31/38

38.5

43.7

Argentina

ARGENT 7 1/2 04/22/26

45.5

49

Argentina

ARGENT 6 7/8 04/22/21

47.9

49.5

Argentina

ARGENT 7.82 12/31/33

42.6

49.5

Argentina

ARGENT 5 5/8 01/26/22

42.2

48.5

Argentina

ARGENT 0 1/8 07/09/35

33.1

33.7

Argentina

ARGENT 6 7/8 01/26/27

42.1

45.9

Argentina

ARGENT 6 7/8 01/11/48

42.1

47.1

Argentina

ARGENT 0 1/8 07/09/41

37

37.4

Argentina

ARGENT 0 1/8 01/09/38

39

39.7

Argentina

ARGENT 0 1/8 07/09/46

33.1

34

Argentina

ARGENT 4 5/8 01/11/23

42

51.3

Provincia de Buenos Aires

BUENOS 7 7/8 06/15/27

42.5

44.9

Provincia de Buenos Aires

BUENOS 9.95 06/09/21

44.2

45.9

Provincia de Buenos Aires

BUENOS 6 1/2 02/15/23

40.7

45.1

Provincia de Buenos Aires

BUENOS 4 05/15/35

40.1

45.4

Provincia de Buenos Aires

BUENOS 9 5/8 04/18/28

42.4

47.2

Banco Macro

BMAAR 6 3/4 11/04/26

81.7

83.2

Pampa Energia

PAMPAR 9 1/8 04/15/29

86.9

90.1

YPF

YPFDAR 8 1/2 07/28/25

76.1

78.8

YPF

YPFDAR 8 3/4 04/04/24

86.1

87.9

YPF

YPFDAR 6.95 07/21/27

65.9

70.5

YPF

YPFDAR 7 12/15/47

61.2

64.7

YPF

YPFDAR 8 1/2 06/27/29

70

74.7

* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call desk

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