Dienstag, 1. November 2022

XS0088543193 RUSSIA 12¾ 28 70 74

 


General Market Update

 

Last week, the main focus of the secondary market trading in Russian debt was on Gazprom and OFZs. Several large blocks and many more small positions exchanged hands during the week. In each case the activity was fueled by the looming deadlines in Russia steadily pushing prices higher for these bonds in western markets. Certain Gazprom programs are expected to remain attractive to a small number of speculative buyers this week as well, while trading in OFZs is due to fully stop with the last settlements set to be finalised by 2nd and 3rd November at the latest.  

Despite the positive sentiment suggested by rising prices in Eurobonds of non-sanctioned companies such as Gazprom, the prospect for foreign investors who keep to their Russian holdings is becoming increasingly uncertain. For instance, many Russian companies such as Gazprom, Norilsk Nickel and other issuers have implemented schemes which allowed them to service Russian holders directly (either via an alternative payment clause or replacement bonds). Such schemes should have permitted Russian issues to secure government licenses to make payments to the foreign investors as well. However, it appears that to date, holders outside of Russia have not yet received payments which, for example, Gazprom and Norilsk Nickel were due to fulfill back in September and by now such payments could fall outside of the grace period for these bonds. Moreover, if the bond reached maturity and was not paid on time by the paying agent, the bond becomes practically unsellable since the registry has already been fixed by the clearing systems, and if such maturity payment had indeed been released in some distant future, any transactions after the record date are likely not to be recognised resulting in the maturity payment being directed to the seller of the bonds instead.

With respect to other news, the Russian government has submitted a bill to the State Duma designed to extend for a one-year deadline for Russian borrowers to apply for the simplified procedure to replace their outstanding Eurobonds. The new deadline for the process is set to be December 2023. The law allowing Russian companies to place "substitute" bonds was signed by the president in July of this year. It is designed to solve the problem of payments on Eurobonds faced by the Russian companies, and to ensure that payments reach Russian investors who have been cut out from the established payment mechanisms due to the refusal of foreign depositories to transfer funds in NSD. In the current version, the document allows Russian borrowers to exchange Eurobonds for the local equivalent programs without registering a new prospectus. 

In addition, it is proposed to extend the rule which limits the possibility of declaring cross-defaults for six months (i.e. until 1st July 2023). According to the current law, the right of the creditor to accelerate obligation arising from the loan agreement, including the loan agreement related to the bonds, is not considered to have arisen if the borrower has paid off its debt obligations in accordance with the temporary procedure for making payments or if failed to pay them (or paid them improperly) due to "non-financial circumstances" that could not be prevented by the debtor.

Indicative Prices 

DRs ISIN

Issuer

$/unit

US6698881090

NOVATEK

16.25

US55315J1025

MMC NORILSK NICKEL

2.2

US8688612048

SURGUTNEFTEGAS

0.35

US8688611057

SURGUTNEFTEGAS

0.4

US73181M1172

POLYUS

4.5

US73181M1099

POLYUS

4.5

US73181P1021

POLYUS

5

US3682871088

GAZPROM

0.55

US3682872078

GAZPROM

0.6

US6074091090

Mobile Telesystems

0.7

US7821835037

RUSHYDRO

0.1

US7821834048

RUSHYDRO

0.15

US67812M1080

Rosneft

0.5

US67812M2070

Rosneft

0.45

US55953Q2021

Magnit

1.2

US55953Q1031

Magnit

1.7

US69343P1057

Lukoil

7.1

US69343P2048

Lukoil

7.1

US29355E1091

En+ Group

0.6

US29355E2081

En+ Group

0.6

US71922G1004

PhosAgro

3.2

US71922G3083

PhosAgro

3.2

US8766292051

Tatneft

3.5

US3133541025

Federal Grid Company

0.07

US3133542015

Federal Grid Company

0.07

US45835N1054

PJSC Inter RAO UES

0.45

US45835N2045

PJSC Inter RAO UES

0.45

US0373763087

Mosenergo

0.15

US61954Q1004

Mosenergo

0.15

US69343X1081

PJSC Rosseti

0.15

US69343X3061

PJSC Rosseti

0.3

US69343X2071

PJSC Rosseti

0.15

US69343X4051

PJSC Rosseti

0.3

US29268L1098

Enel Russia

0.03

 

* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call desk 

Fixed Income

Gazprom

Last week Gazprom Capital exchanged $539.9m Eurobonds due in 2034 for local debt securities as part of “substitute” program for the holders, whose rights are accounted for by Russian depositories. According to the company, the share of actually placed bonds from the total number of securities in circulation amounted to 45%. Before the replacement, Gazprom had $1.2bn Eurobonds in circulation, with the coupon rate of 8.625%, and the nearest coupon payment which fell due on 28th October.

Meanwhile, on 27th October, Gazprom has also started placing local bonds to replace another eurobond issue with maturity in November 2024, denominated in euros. According to the report, the company can place up to maximum nominal amount of EUR 750m bonds, which coincides with the outstanding nominal of the equivalent Eurobond. The start date of the placement is 27th October, the planned end date is 10th  November.

ISIN

Ticker

Bid

Ask

XS2408033210

GAZPRU 1.85  28  

48

52

XS2301292400

GAZPRU 1½   27  

45

48

XS1911645049

GAZPRU 2.949 24  

57

61

XS2157526315

GAZPRU 2.95  25  

48

52

XS2291819980

GAZPRU 2.95  29  

48

51

XS1721463500

GAZPRU 2¼   24  

48

54

XS1795409082

GAZPRU 2½   26  

46

51

XS2196334671

GAZPRU 3     27  

48

51

XS2243636219

GAZPRU 3.897 PERP

30

35

XS2124187571

GAZPRU 3¼   30  

45

48

XS2363250833

GAZPRU 3½   31  

53

57

XS1521039054

GAZPRU 3⅛   23  

56

60

 

* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call desk 

Lukoil

Last week Lukoil partially exchanged 2 additional Eurobond program for local “substitute” bonds. More specifically, the company replaced USD 257.4m Eurobonds maturing in 2027 and USD 254m to Eurobonds maturing in 2031. Therefore, the share of bonds exchanged for these 2 programs from the total number of Eurobond in circulation amounted to 22.39% for 2027 maturity and 22.09% for 2031 maturity. The parameters of the "replacement" bonds (nominal value, maturity, coupon) are fully equivalent to the parameters of the corresponding issue of Eurobonds, and their servicing will be carried out in rubles at the exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation on the date of payments.

 

Novatek

The company offered holders of dollar-denominated Eurobonds with a maturity in 2022 to agree on the possibility of direct payments in rubles to investors whose rights are accounted for by Russian depositories. 

In addition, the company asked investors to agree on an increase in the grace period during which non-payment of amounts due on the date of interest payment or on the maturity date can be eliminated without the occurrence of an "event of default". In the case of payment of the principal amount of the debt, the grace period is proposed to be increased from 7 to 60 working days, in the case of payment of interest and other amounts - from 14 to 60 working days. 

Investors who own Eurobonds as of 9th November will be able to take part in the voting. The deadline for submitting consent is no later than 11th November at 17:00 London time, the meeting of Eurobond holders will be held on 15th November.

ISIN

Ticker

Bid

Ask

XS0864383723

NVTKRM 4.422 22  

60

65

 

* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call desk 

Sovcomflot

The company exchanged USD 317.8m Eurobonds for local bonds due in 2028. This amounts to almost three-quarters of the Eurobonds in circulation for 2028, or 73.9%. When placing the bonds, the holders were allowed to “pay” for the “substitute” local bonds either in Eurobonds with maturity in 2028, or by the transfer (assignment) of all property and other rights under such Eurobonds. The company disclosed that local bonds paid for by Eurobonds amounted to USD 278.2m, while the transfer of rights route was exercised by holders of USD 39.6m. The maturity date of the exchanged Eurobonds is 26th April 2028, the coupon rate is 3.85% (i.e. same as for the original Eurobonds).

ISIN

Ticker

Bid

Ask

XS2325559396

SCFRU  3.85  28  

Call desk for prices

XS1433454243

SCFRU  5⅜   23  

17

20

 

* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call desk 

Other Indicative Prices 

ISIN

Ticker

Bid

Ask

XS0805131439

AKBARS 8     22  

29

34

XS2230649225

BOINTE 6     26  

32

34

XS2281299763

CRBKMO 3.1   26  

15

19

XS2384475930

CRBKMO 3⅞   26  

15

19

XS2099763075

CRBKMO 4.7   25  

18

23

XS1951067039

CRBKMO 5.15  24  

18

21

XS1759801720

CRBKMO 5.55  23  

19

23

XS1964558339

CRBKMO 7.121 24  

19

23

XS1589106910

CRBKMO 7½   27  

12

16

XS2392969395

CRBKMO 7⅝   PERP

12

16

XS1601094755

CRBKMO 8⅞   PERP

10

13

XS1843443273

EVRAZ  5¼   24  

44

48

XS1533915721

EVRAZ  5⅜   23  

46

50

XS1405775450

GLPRLI 6½   23  

20

24

XS1589324075

GMKNRM 4.1   23  

58

62

XS1772800204

HCDNDA 5.075 23  

15

19

XS2082937967

HYDRRM 6.8   24  

17

24

XS2232013263

IMHRUS 5.9   25  

9

12

XS2400040973

METINR 3⅜   28  

21

25

XS0921331509

MOBTEL 5     23  

23

25

XS2346922755

NLMKRU 1.45  26  

50

55

XS1577953174

NLMKRU 4     24  

54

59

XS1843435337

NLMKRU 4.7   26  

52

57

XS1405775617

NLMKRU 4½   23  

56

60

XS1405775617

NLMKRU 4½   23  

56

61

XS2304902443

OZON   1⅞   26  

53

58

XS2396900685

PGILLN 3¼   28  

44

48

XS1713474325

PGILLN 4.7   24  

46

50

XS1533922933

PGILLN 5¼   23  

48

51

XS2384719402

PHORRU 2.6   28  

49

52

XS2099039542

PHORRU 3.05  25  

52

54

XS1752568144

PHORRU 3.949 23  

56

59

XS2010026560

PIKCOR 5⅝   26  

14

17

XS1711554102

POGLN  8⅛   22  

8

13

XS1759468967

RUALRU 4.85  23  

28

32

XS1577964965

RUALRU 5.3   23  

29

33

CH0522690715

RURAIL 0.84  26  

15

19

CH0419041618

RURAIL 0.898 25  

17

21

CH0419041634

RURAIL 1.195 28  

13

17

CH0379268748

RURAIL 2.1   23  

25

27

CH1100259816

RURAIL 3⅛   PERP

4

8

XS1041815116

RURAIL 4.6   23  

18

23

XS1574068844

RURAIL 4⅜   24  

16

20

XS1502188375

RURAIL 9.2   23  

29

33

XS2199713384

SIBUR  2.95  25  

37

42

XS2010044621

SIBUR  3.45  24  

38

43

XS1693971043

SIBUR  4⅛   23  

40

45

XS2384174228

SUEK   3⅜   26  

14

18

XS2317279060

TLGRAM 7     26  

80

82

XS2116222451

TRUBRU 4.3   27  

15

20

XS2239639433

VKCOLI 1⅝   25  

42

50

 

* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call desk 

Russian Government Bonds

ISIN

Ticker

Bid

Ask

XS0971721963

RUSSIA 5⅞  43

49

53

XS0767473852

RUSSIA 5⅝  42

49

53

RU000A0JXU14

RUSSIA 5¼  47

32

37

RU000A1006S9

RUSSIA 5.1  35

34

39

XS0971721450

RUSSIA 4⅞  23

63

68

RU000A0ZYYN4

RUSSIA 4⅜  29

36

39

RU000A0JWHA4

RUSSIA 4¾  26

37

40

RU000A0JXTS9

RUSSIA 4¼  27

38

41

RU000A0ZZVE6

RUSSIA 2⅞  25

38

41

RU000A1034K8

RUSSIA 2.65 36

32

37

RU000A102CK5

RUSSIA 1⅛  27

32

37

XS0088543193

RUSSIA 12¾ 28

70

74

RU000A102CL3

RUSSIA 1.85 32

31

34

XS0114288789

RUSSIA 7½  30

38

42

RU000A0JWM07

RFLB   7¾  26

32

37

RU000A0JS3W6

RFLB   8.15 27

30

34

RU000A0ZYUB7

RFLB   7¼  34

30

34

RU000A0ZZYW2

RFLB   7.95 26

30

34

RU000A0JXFM1

RFLB   7.7  33

30

34

RU000A100A82

RFLB   7.65 30

30

34

RU000A0JXB41

RFLB   7.4  22

39

42

RU000A0JXQF2

RFLB   7.1  24

36

40

RU000A0JTK38

RFLB   7.05 28

33

37

RU000A0JU4L3

RFLB   7    23

37

41

RU000A0ZYU88

RFLB   6½  24

36

40

RU000A103901

RFLB   6.9  31

30

34

RU000A0ZYUA9

RFLB   6.9  29

30

34

RU000A1014N4

RFLB   6    27

31

35

RU000A101QE0

RFLB   4½  25

35

38

 
 

* Indicative price for positions with institutional size only. For smaller sizes please call desk 

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