Samstag, 29. Juli 2023

The new agreement “will give Argentina access to around US$ 7.5 billion” but is subject to the government implementing the agreed measures and to the approval of the board, which will convene during the second half of August.

 The Government of Argentina reached an understanding with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) whereby the global agency will make disbursements worth over US$ 7 billion in August and November, it was announced Friday in Buenos Aires.

As per the “staff level agreement”, the Economy Ministry would be able to intervene in turbulent situations in the currency exchange and other domestic markets. The IMF also requested the Central Bank (BCRA) reserves increased, in addition to keeping the fiscal deficit at 1.9% of the GDP.

The new agreement between Argentina and the IMF comes before the July 31 maturities worth US$3.3 billion.

“This is the conclusion of the work we have been doing, this allows us to go through the remaining part of the year with much more tranquility,” Economy Minister Sergio Massa said.
This is “good news, beyond the fact that we have to understand that it is not good that a country has to be continuously renegotiating with the International Monetary Fund because of a bad management of the previous government,” he added.

“Basically, what was defined is a program of objectives and goals, of accumulation of reserves, of a balance of public accounts. In this sense, we have been able to lower withholdings [export taxes] from regional sectors, so that we can also try to better manage exports of many purchases made using Argentine dollars,” Massa also pointed out.

An IMF statement read that ”The Argentine authorities and the IMF staff have reached an agreement at the staff level on the fifth and sixth reviews under Argentina's 30-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement.“

”The agreement is subject to continued implementation of the agreed policy actions and approval by the IMF Executive Board, which is expected to meet in the second half of August. Upon completion of the fifth and sixth reviews, Argentina will have access to about US$ 7.5 billion,“ it added.

”A policy package has been agreed upon with a sequential set of measures to rebuild reserves and improve fiscal sustainability while protecting critical infrastructure and social spending,” the financial organization said after weeks of negotiations.

Once the IMF Board approves and formally considers the fifth and sixth reviews as completed, Argentina will have access to about US$ 7.5 billion and the next review (the seventh of the program) is expected to take place in November, as anticipated by the Fund, when in the original program it was scheduled for early next year.

In 2022, the IMF and Argentina agreed on a credit program under which the South American country receives US$44 billion over 30 months in exchange for Argentine President Alberto Fernandez increasing its international reserves and reducing the fiscal deficit from 3% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2021 to 2.5% in 2022, 1.9% in 2023 and 0.9% in 2024.

Since March 31, when the fourth review was completed, “Argentina's economic situation has become very challenging” and “key program targets through the end of June were not met due to the higher-than-expected impact of the drought, as well as policy slippages and delays,” the fund warned.

The new agreement “will give Argentina access to around US$ 7.5 billion” but is subject to the government implementing the agreed measures and to the approval of the board, which will convene during the second half of August.

Freitag, 28. Juli 2023

IMF-Argentina Debt Repayment Agreement is Good News: Massa

 

IMF-Argentina Debt Repayment Agreement is Good News: Massa

    • Argentina's Economy Minister Sergio Massa, 2023.

      Argentina's Economy Minister Sergio Massa, 2023. | Photo: Twitter/ @lapowerrio3

    Published 28 July 2023 (2 hours 9 minutes ago)

    If this technical agreement is ratified by the IMF Board of Directors, Argentina will receive a disbursement of US$7.5 billion.

    On Friday, the Economy Minister Sergio Massa stated that the technical agreement reached between Argentina and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on debt repayment brings "tranquility" amid the ongoing electoral process.

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    "It allows us to navigate much more calmly in the second semester, which is obviously marked by electoral issues that sometimes generate uncertainty or doubts. So, for us, it is very good news," said Massa, who is also a presidential candidate.

    The IMF-Argentina technical agreement has to do with the revision of the goals of the 2018 debt restructuring agreement. If this technical agreement is ratified by the IMF Board of Directors, Argentina will receive a disbursement of US$7.5 billion.

    The agreement includes a sequential set of measures to rebuild reserves and improve fiscal sustainability while simultaneously protecting critical infrastructure and social spending. These steps are aimed at "strengthening the program."

    In a statement, the IMF pointed out that this is a technical-staff-level agreement on the 5th and 6th reviews within the framework of the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) agreement reached in 2022.

    The IMF acknowledges that since the completion of the 4th review of the agreement in March, Argentina's economic situation has become "very challenging," and key program objectives could not be met, mainly due to the macroeconomic consequences of the drought.

    However, the IMF also attributes this situation to "deviations and delays in policies" that the Argentine government must implement.

    Dienstag, 18. Juli 2023

    Venezuela opposition presidential hopefuls back eventual debt restructuring By Mayela Armas and Luc Cohen July 19, 202312:08 AM GMT+2Updated 3 hours ago CARACAS/NEW YORK, July 18 (Reuters) - The need to restructure Venezuela's public debt, raise international financing and provide guarantees for investors are key policy focuses for several candidates competing to represent the opposition in the 2024 presidential election

     

    Venezuela opposition presidential hopefuls back eventual debt restructuring

    CARACAS/NEW YORK, July 18 (Reuters) - The need to restructure Venezuela's public debt, raise international financing and provide guarantees for investors are key policy focuses for several candidates competing to represent the opposition in the 2024 presidential election.

    Some of the 14 hopefuls in the Oct. 22 primary have begun to share their plans for reviving Venezuela's battered economy - which shrank for eight consecutive years amid crisis in the oil sector, state controls and U.S. sanctions.

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    A de facto dollarization and more controlled inflation allowed a slight recovery last year, but the economy is once again slowing and annual inflation was 404% through June.

    Venezuela's often divided opposition is seeking to dislodge President Nicolas Maduro, who has ruled the country since 2013. The last election he won in 2018 was widely condemned by Western democracies as fraudulent.

    Several opposition candidates have already been barred from holding public office, including Maria Corina Machado, who despite the ban - which she received for supporting U.S. sanctions on the government - is ahead in opinion polls for the primary.

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    The primary is being held without state support, so bans are moot, but disqualified candidates would not be able to register for the general election, an eventuality that is the subject of ongoing debate within the opposition.

    Campaigning has also continued despite an effort to get Venezuela's top court to suspend the primary on unspecified allegations of irregularities and a ruling party leader's pledge not to allow European Union election observers.

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    Should she eventually triumph, Machado would quickly reestablish suspended relationships with lenders like the International Monetary Fund, World Bank and Inter-American Development Bank, she said on Tuesday.

    Debts owed by Venezuela and its state-run oil company PDVSA total more than $60 billion, not including potential repayments of more than $10 billion for past expropriations.

    "Of bonds that arise from a debt restructuring, some could be eligible to participate in a wide swap process in a massive program of privatizations," said Machado during a Council of the Americas event.

    Machado would also seek to raise oil production and attract major companies, "putting an end to the state monopoly," she said.

    Cristofer Correia, adviser to opposition candidate Freddy Superlano, said: "We want to recover confidence and look for agreements (with bondholders) that benefit stakeholders," adding that Superlano would seek international financing to recover Venezuela's manufacturing.

    Another primary candidate, Carlos Prosperi, also backs renegotiations but says the amount of debt that could be restructured must be evaluated, given ongoing court cases in the United States, according to his economic adviser Armando Jaen.

    Negotiators representing Venezuela have held settlement talks with bondholders and creditors, who Maduro stopped paying in October 2017 amid the lower oil income and sanctions.

    Some creditors are moving ahead with a lawsuit meant to force the sale of shares in a parent of state-owned refiner Citgo Petroleum, to enforce judgments for past expropriations.

    Meanwhile, some small funds and investors outside the United States are looking to increase their exposure to Venezuelan bonds, on the expectation of renegotiations or legal action.

    Henrique Capriles, a two-time opposition candidate and current hopeful, has said talks must be held with creditors to preserve Citgo.

    "Losing the refiner is a problem for the country," Capriles told Reuters in June.

    Machado agreed on Tuesday, telling Reuters Citgo should remain in Venezuelan hands.

    "A disorganized sale would produce a great destruction of value," she said. "Remaining under Venezuelan control and allowing (Citgo) to comply with all its obligations ... that would benefit all the creditors, the shareholders, the suppliers and the United States."

    Barclays said this month the 2024 elections could present a window of opportunity to find a solution to Venezuela's political crisis, a pre-requisite for sovereign debt restructuring, but added that it was too early to draw conclusions about an outcome for the elections.

    The opposition is crafting a proposal to redirect about 200,000 barrels per day of oil exports to pay creditors, an opposition official said this month.

    Reporting by Mayela Armas in Caracas and Luc Cohen in New York, additional reporting by Vivian Sequera; Writing by Julia Symmes Cobb; Editing by Rosalba O'Brien and Sonali Paul

    Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principle

    Venezuela’s Machado Would Restructure Debt Into Single Bond Frontrunner would toll statute of limitations on bonds Machado supports eventually offering oil warrants to investors

     

    Venezuela’s Machado Would Restructure Debt Into Single Bond

    • Frontrunner would toll statute of limitations on bonds
    • Machado supports eventually offering oil warrants to investors
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    Opposition frontrunner María Corina Machado said she would seek to roll Venezuela’s massive debt pile into a single bond as part of her plan to overhaul the country’s economy.

    Speaking after a video presentation to economists and investors in New York on Tuesday, Machado said if she wins office next year holders of defaulted government and state oil company notes would all be treated equally and given the chance to swap their debt for a new super bond.

    “We want to have one sole obligation with legal conditions in which all different liabilities can come once they are vetted,” she said in a video interview following the event at the headquarters of the Americas Society/Council of the Americas.

    Maria Corina MachadoSource: Bloomberg

    Restructuring debt — which stands at around $158 billion, according to the International Monetary Fund — is an integral step to Machado’s plan for a country that has fallen deeply into poverty under President Nicolás Maduro. As part of her plan, the 55-year-old former lawmaker said her administration would strengthen ties with the IMF, offer to suspend a statute of limitation to bondholders and consider warrants linked to the nation’s oil riches.

    Machado said the plan is designed to attract debt holders, including a committee of international creditors that holds around $10 billion of global bonds. “The ability for these funds to participate in a swap process within the massive privatization could be very attractive,” she said.

    A self-described liberal centrist, Machado is leading a field of 14 opposition candidates vying to challenge Maduro in the 2024 election. She was No. 1 among possible primary candidates with 68% support of those with a high likelihood to vote, according to a June poll from Delphos, up from 37% in March. The opposition is scheduled to hold a primary vote in October.

    Still, she faces significant challenges. Maduro’s government prohibits her from leaving the country and banned her from running for public office in late June. Machado has said her disqualification is meaningless and that she plans to participate in the primaries, hoping an eventual victory will force Maduro to lift the ban.

    Her support for a tolling agreement could pave the way for opposition lawmakers to sign an extension that would push back the statute of limitations deadline. The Venezuela Creditors Committee has warned that suspension of the statute is needed to avoid litigation.

    Her economic team said Maduro’s government should give the opposition assurances that signing a tolling agreement will not have legal consequences for them in Venezuela. The opposition-led National Assembly is the only recognized Venezuelan authority in US courts and therefore authorized to enforce such an agreement.

    “The tolling agreement has to be done in order to be conducive to a renegotiation process of Venezuelan debt,” Gustavo García, a former IDB economist who is part of Machado’s team, said during the presentation Tuesday.

    Read more: Venezuela Creditors Urge Opposition to Support Bond Standstill

    Maduro offered to suspend the statute of limitations in March, but his proposal is not enforceable because US courts do not recognize his government. Meanwhile, the opposition’s National Assembly was recently granted authority by the US to represent the country in negotiations with creditors, ending the legal void created by the removal of Juan Guaidó as interim president in January.

    Oil Privatization

    Machado said she favors an “expansive stabilization” of Venezuela’s battered economy through market-friendly policies and privatization of most industries, including the nation’s all-important oil sector.

    Her economic plan includes swapping sovereign debt for ownership or stakes in state-owned enterprises that would be privatized under her tenure. She also said she would reform Venezuela’s existing hydrocarbons law by eliminating ownership restrictions to increase foreign investment in the industry.

    “We want to open Venezuela’s energy sector to attract the most advanced and capitalized companies in the world,” she said.

      — With Andreina Itriago Acosta, Maria Elena Vizcaino, and Nicolle Yapur

      (Updates with details of plan throughout)

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